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Economics and development economics

Economics and development economics study how societies produce, distribute and consume resources and how living standards change. They estimate the costs of shocks and the trade-offs among policy responses. Economic Development stewards this page for the Nexus Consortium.

01In brief

The short answer.

Economics and development economics study how societies produce, distribute and consume resources and how living standards change. Economic analysis quantifies indirect losses as shocks spread through supply chains and labour markets. In the Nexus Consortium, Economic Development stewards its canonical page, and 6 other platforms apply it, including Future of Work and Skills as well as Capital Nexus.

02Geography

Systemic exposure in North America.

Where people and networks concentrate, the exposure through which shocks travel between systems, shown for North America as an example geography for this subject.

Where people and networks concentrate, the exposure through which shocks travel between systems.Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.
GCRI · institution · fieldDESIGN FIGURE
03The method

What economics and development economics covers.

  1. 01

    Core methods

    input-output analysis; computable general equilibrium modelling; cost-benefit analysis; household welfare analysis; growth accounting; field experiments.

  2. 02

    Data and instruments

    national accounts; household income and expenditure surveys; trade statistics; labour force surveys; price indices.

  3. 03

    Validation

    Models are assessed against historical episodes and out-of-sample data. Parameter estimates are compared across studies and identification strategies.

  4. 04

    Limits

    Equilibrium models may understate disruption and nonlinear cascades. Informal economies and non-market losses are poorly measured.

  5. 05

    Use in risk decisions

    Economic analysis quantifies indirect losses as shocks spread through supply chains and labour markets. It supports prioritising investment in prevention and recovery.

04Reference practice

Economic measurement rests on national accounts and shared data.

ReferenceWhat it sets
System of National AccountsDefinitions of output, income, capital and their measurement
World Bank and IMF dataMacroeconomic and development indicators
Input-output tables (for example OECD inter-country tables)Inter-industry linkages for shock propagation
05In systemic risk work

Indirect losses often exceed direct ones.

Damage to assets is the direct loss; lost production in supplier and customer industries, and in households, is the indirect loss. Input-output and computable general equilibrium models estimate indirect losses, and their assumptions about substitution and recovery time largely decide the answer.

  • Do not add damage to capital and lost output without checking for double counting.
  • State substitution elasticities and recovery assumptions.
  • Distinguish distributional effects from aggregate ones.
  • Applications on Economic Development and Future of Work and Skills.
07Stewardship

Who maintains this page.

Economic Development stewards economics and development economics: it keeps this description current and reviews how the method is applied across the platforms.

08Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Economic rate of returnThe discount rate at which a project's economic benefits equal its costs.
Shadow priceAn adjusted price reflecting a resource's true value to the economy rather than its market price.
IncidenceWho ultimately bears the cost or receives the benefit of a tariff, tax or subsidy.
Permanent income ruleA rule that spends only the sustainable return on total resource wealth, keeping it for future generations.
09Sources

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

11Questions

Questions and answers.

Why does one institution host every method page?
GCRI hosts the STEM Commons so that each method has one canonical description. Platforms link to it rather than repeat it, which keeps definitions consistent.
How do I suggest a correction to a method page?
Write to integrity@therisk.global with the passage and the reason.
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

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The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

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